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Research: The Propaganda Narratives of the War in Ukraine and Macedonian-Bulgarian Relations

NVO Infocentar by NVO Infocentar
22/02/2023
in Analyses, In focus, Media monitoring
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The focus of this research by the NGO Infocenter is to identify the dominant propaganda narratives in online media coverage of Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine and Macedonian-Bulgarian relations.

A total of 345 contents published in the online media in the country were analyzed, of which 192 are dedicated to the relations between North Macedonia and Bulgaria (November 15, 2021 – February 15, 2022), and 152 refer to the military conflict in Ukraine, i.e. the period before the beginning and the beginning of Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine (November 15, 2021 – March 31, 2022).

The authors of the research, which is supported by the US Embassy in RNM, are DSc. Sead Dzigal, communicator and Ljupco Petkovski, political scientist.

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Key research findings

1. The military conflict in Ukraine

The presence of pro-Russian narratives was detected, the most common of which are:

– Exaltation of the power of Russia (great, powerfull, decisive, principled, economically and militarily superior).

– Russian aggression against Ukraine is legitimate.

– Weak, corrupt and Nazi Ukraine.

– The war in Ukraine is a market between great powers.

– Criticism and ridicule of NATO, the West and other supporters of Ukraine.

Impact of pro-Russian narratives on citizens (focus groups):

– Superiority of Russia.

– Skepticism towards Western support for Ukraine.

– Negative attitude towards Ukrainian President Zelenskiy.

– Belief in conspiracy theories.

– The war in Ukraine is not real. – The West is hypocritical towards Ukraine, but also towards Macedonia.

2. Macedonian-Bulgarian relations

The analysis detected the following dominant narratives:

– Bulgaria continues with its anti-Macedonian policy.

– Bulgarian fascism versus Macedonian anti-fascism.

– Bulgaria does not recognize the Macedonian minority in its country.

– The Macedonian government is treacherous and incompetent.

– Underestimation of conciliatory performances and statements.

The impact of narratives on citizens (focus groups):

Mistrust and a deep sense of victimization

– A deep-seated sense of victimization.

– High level of mistrust towards Macedonian foreign policy.

– Political elites “should not be puppets of the West”.

– The political elites are not capable of defending the “national interest”.

Potential for detecting propaganda narratives

– Motivation and potential for critical thinking.

– A certain degree of critical ability to detect and deconstruct propaganda narratives.

– Potential for critical distance to information from the “side” being supported.

You can read the full text of the research at the following link: https://nvoinfocentar.mk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Research-BG_MK_RU_UK.pdf

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